Wholesale prices continue to tumble, consumer confidence rebounds

Wholesale prices continue to tumble this year as consumer confidence rebounds, according to Canadian Black Book’s latest COVID-19 update.

Wholesale prices for both car and truck segments experienced a much steeper decline last week compared to previous weeks.

“The month of December 2020 closed at a high point for retained values of 2–6-year-old used vehicles,” said CBB in its report, adding that its Used Vehicle Retention Index reached 111.5 Index points — up 0.8 points from the previous record high mark set in November 2020.

However, “the weekly raw value adjustments for car segments, which are not adjusted for seasonality, declined by 0.67% last week,” which is a steep drop from recent weeks, according to CBB. Truck wholesale values declined 0.51% during the same period, representing the largest decrease since mid-May 2020.

The Canadian dollar posted a new two-year high, helping to lower wholesale prices in the country.

Employment fell for the first time since last spring by 0.3% or 63,000 jobs, due to increased restrictions across the country amid a second wave of COVID-19.

“The LFS (Labour Force Survey) noted that the number of Canadians working from home has again increased to 29% in December,” said CBB. “These large work-from-home numbers will reduce the number of kilometres being driven, adversely affecting the service/repair aspect of the industry, and deferring the replacement demand for some vehicles.”

At the same time consumer confidence has rebounded to pre-pandemic levels, according to the Bloomberg-Nanos Canadian Consumer Confidence Index.

Looking back at 2020, new light vehicles sales were down 19.7% based on data from DesRosiers Automotive Consultants (DAC), while used car sales have fully recovered from October 2019 — and are now up 220% from last spring.

“With restrictions in a number of provinces, as well as continued interruptions to the flow of new vehicles, 2021 is expected to have a slow start, from a sales perspective,” said CBB.

Read the full report.

About Todd Phillips

Todd Phillips is the editorial director of Universus Media Group Inc. and the editor of Canadian auto dealer magazine. Todd can be reached at tphillips@universusmedia.com.

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